Lub Koom Haum Hlau Thoob Ntiaj Teb (Worldsteel) uas nyob hauv Brussels tau tshaj tawm nws qhov kev kwv yees luv luv rau xyoo 2021 thiab 2022. Worldsteel kwv yees tias kev thov hlau yuav loj hlob 5.8 feem pua hauv xyoo 2021 kom ncav cuag ze li ntawm 1.88 billion metric tons.
Xyoo 2020, cov hlau tsim tau poob qis 0.2 feem pua. Xyoo 2022, kev thov hlau yuav loj hlob ntxiv 2.7 feem pua kom txog ze li ntawm 1.925 billion metric tons.
Worldsteel hais tias qhov kev kwv yees tam sim no xav tias "cov kab mob [COVID-19] thib ob lossis thib peb yuav ruaj khov rau hauv peb lub hlis thib ob thiab kev vam meej ruaj khov ntawm kev txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv kab mob yuav ua tiav, uas ua rau maj mam rov qab mus rau qhov qub hauv cov teb chaws loj uas siv hlau."
"Txawm hais tias muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev ntawm tus kab mob sib kis rau lub neej thiab kev ua neej nyob, kev lag luam hlau thoob ntiaj teb tau muaj hmoo txaus los xaus xyoo 2020 nrog tsuas yog me ntsis kev poob qis hauv kev thov hlau," Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, tus thawj coj ntawm Worldsteel Economics Committee hais.
Pawg neeg hais tias tseem muaj "kev tsis paub meej ntau rau xyoo 2021 tas," hais tias kev hloov pauv ntawm tus kab mob thiab kev nce qib ntawm kev txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv kab mob, kev rho tawm ntawm cov cai nyiaj txiag thiab kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag, kev nom kev tswv hauv ntiaj teb thiab kev lag luam txhua yam tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau kev rov zoo uas tau teev tseg hauv nws qhov kev kwv yees.
Hauv cov tebchaws uas muaj kev vam meej, "Tom qab kev poob qis ntawm kev lag luam hauv lub quarter thib ob ntawm xyoo 2020, kev lag luam feem ntau rov zoo sai sai hauv lub quarter thib peb, feem ntau yog vim muaj kev ntsuas nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb thiab kev tso tawm ntawm kev thov uas raug kaw," Worldsteel sau.
Txawm li cas los xij, lub koom haum tau sau tseg tias cov theem kev ua ub no tseem qis dua qib ua ntej muaj kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2020. Yog li ntawd, kev thov hlau hauv ntiaj teb tsim tau poob qis 12.7 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020.
Worldsteel kwv yees tias, "Peb yuav pom kev rov zoo dua hauv xyoo 2021 thiab 2022, nrog kev loj hlob ntawm 8.2 feem pua thiab 4.2 feem pua, raws li. Txawm li cas los xij, kev thov hlau hauv xyoo 2022 tseem yuav qis dua qib xyoo 2019."
Txawm hais tias muaj cov kab mob sib kis ntau heev los, Tebchaws Meskas txoj kev lag luam tau rov zoo los ntawm thawj nthwv dej ua tsaug rau ib feem ntawm kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag uas txhawb nqa kev siv nyiaj. Qhov no tau pab tsim cov khoom siv ruaj khov, tab sis tag nrho cov kev thov hlau hauv Tebchaws Meskas tau poob qis 18 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020.
Tsoom fwv Biden tau tshaj tawm txog $2 trillion daim ntawv thov nyiaj txiag uas muaj cov kev cai rau kev nqis peev hauv kev tsim kho vaj tse loj heev rau lub sijhawm ntau xyoo. Txoj kev npaj no yuav raug sib tham hauv Congress.
Yuav luag txhua txoj kev npaj uas tau tshwm sim yuav muaj peev xwm zoo rau kev thov hlau. Txawm li cas los xij, txawm tias qhov no thiab kev nce qib sai hauv kev txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv kab mob, kev rov qab los ntawm kev thov hlau yuav raug txwv rau lub sijhawm luv luv los ntawm kev rov qab los tsis muaj zog hauv kev tsim kho tsis yog vaj tse thiab lub zog. Kev lag luam tsheb yuav rov zoo dua.
Hauv European Union, cov lag luam siv hlau tau raug kev txom nyem hnyav los ntawm thawj qhov kev kaw hauv xyoo 2020 tab sis tau muaj kev rov zoo dua li qhov xav tau tom qab kev kaw hauv kev tsim khoom vim yog cov kev txhawb nqa ntawm tsoomfwv thiab kev thov kom raug tswj, Worldsteel hais.
Yog li ntawd, kev thov hlau hauv xyoo 2020 hauv EU 27 lub tebchaws thiab United Kingdom tau xaus nrog qhov kev cog lus zoo dua li qhov xav tau 11.4 feem pua.
"Kev rov zoo hauv xyoo 2021 thiab 2022 xav tias yuav zoo, vim yog kev rov zoo hauv txhua qhov kev siv hlau, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog kev lag luam tsheb thiab kev tsim kho pej xeem," Worldsteel hais. Txog tam sim no, lub zog rov zoo ntawm EU tseem tsis tau raug cuam tshuam los ntawm kev sib kis COVID-19, tab sis qhov xwm txheej kev noj qab haus huv ntawm lub teb chaws "tseem tsis ruaj khov," lub koom haum ntxiv.
Lub teb chaws Turkey uas siv cov khoom seem los ntawm kev xa tawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob arc furnace (EAF) uas muaj zog heev "tau raug kev txom nyem heev hauv xyoo 2019 vim yog teeb meem txiaj ntawm xyoo 2018, [tab sis] tseem khaws cia qhov kev rov zoo li qub uas pib thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2019 vim yog kev tsim kho," Worldsteel hais. Qhov kev rov zoo ntawd yuav txuas ntxiv mus, thiab kev thov hlau yuav rov qab mus rau qib teeb meem txiaj ua ntej xyoo 2022, pawg neeg hais.
Kev lag luam ntawm Kaus Lim Qab Teb, lwm lub tebchaws xa khoom pov tseg, tau dim ntawm kev poob qis loj ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv tebchaws ua tsaug rau kev tswj hwm zoo dua ntawm tus kabmob sib kis, thiab nws pom muaj kev txhawb nqa zoo hauv kev nqis peev thiab kev tsim kho vaj tse.
Txawm li cas los xij, kev thov hlau tau poob qis 8 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020 vim muaj kev poob qis hauv kev lag luam tsheb thiab kev tsim nkoj. Xyoo 2021-22, ob qho kev lag luam no yuav ua rau muaj kev rov zoo, uas yuav tau txais kev txhawb nqa ntxiv los ntawm kev muaj zog txuas ntxiv hauv kev nqis peev hauv chaw ua haujlwm thiab cov kev pab cuam hauv tsoomfwv. Txawm li cas los xij, kev thov hlau hauv xyoo 2022 tsis xav tias yuav rov qab mus rau qib ua ntej muaj kev sib kis.
Is Nrias teb tau raug kev txom nyem hnyav heev los ntawm lub sijhawm ntev ntawm kev kaw lub tebchaws, uas ua rau feem ntau ntawm cov haujlwm kev lag luam thiab kev tsim kho tsis ua haujlwm. Txawm li cas los xij, kev lag luam tau rov zoo dua txij li lub Yim Hli, (sharp dua li qhov xav tau, Worldsteel hais), nrog rau kev rov pib dua ntawm tsoomfwv cov haujlwm thiab kev thov kev siv khoom.
Xyoo 2020, Is Nrias teb cov kev xav tau hlau tau poob qis 13.7 feem pua tab sis xav tias yuav rov qab los ntawm 19.8 feem pua kom dhau qib 2019 hauv xyoo 2021, tej zaum yuav muab xov xwm zoo rau cov neeg xa khoom ferrous scrap. Tsoomfwv txoj kev npaj kev loj hlob yuav ua rau Is Nrias teb cov kev xav tau hlau nce siab, thaum kev nqis peev ntiag tug yuav siv sijhawm ntev dua los rov zoo.
Kev lag luam Nyiv Pooj kuj tau raug kev cuam tshuam loj heev los ntawm tus kab mob sib kis vim yog kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev ua lag luam dav dav thiab kev ntseeg siab tsis muaj zog uas ua rau muaj kev nce se siv thaum Lub Kaum Hli 2019. Nrog rau kev poob qis tshwj xeeb hauv kev tsim tsheb, kev thov hlau tau poob qis 16.8 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020. Kev rov zoo ntawm kev thov hlau Nyiv Pooj yuav nruab nrab, tsav los ntawm kev rov qab los hauv kev lag luam tsheb nrog kev rov qab los ntawm kev xa khoom thiab cov tshuab kev lag luam vim yog kev rov zoo thoob ntiaj teb hauv kev siv nyiaj peev, raws li Worldsteel.
Hauv thaj tsam Koom Haum ntawm Cov Tebchaws Es Xias Qab Teb (ASEAN), kev cuam tshuam rau cov haujlwm tsim kho tau cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam hlau uas loj hlob sai, thiab kev thov hlau tau poob qis 11.9 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020.
Malaysia (uas xa cov khib nyiab ntau heev los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas) thiab Philippines yog cov teb chaws uas raug kev txom nyem hnyav tshaj plaws, thaum Nyab Laj thiab Indonesia tsuas pom tias kev thov hlau poob qis me ntsis xwb. Kev rov zoo yuav raug tsav los ntawm kev rov pib ua haujlwm tsim kho thiab kev ncig tebchaws maj mam, uas yuav nrawm dua hauv xyoo 2022.
Nyob rau hauv Suav teb, kev tsim kho vaj tse tau rov zoo sai sai txij li lub Plaub Hlis 2020 mus, txhawb nqa los ntawm kev nqis peev hauv kev tsim kho vaj tse. Rau xyoo 2021 thiab tom ntej no, kev loj hlob ntawm kev nqis peev hauv vaj tse yuav txo qis vim yog tsoomfwv cov lus qhia kom qeeb qeeb kev loj hlob hauv qhov kev lag luam ntawd.
Kev nqis peev rau hauv cov phiaj xwm tsim kho vaj tse hauv xyoo 2020 tau tshaj tawm tias kev loj hlob qeeb qeeb ntawm 0.9 feem pua. Txawm li cas los xij, vim tias tsoomfwv Suav tau pib ua ntau qhov project tshiab los txhawb kev lag luam, kev loj hlob ntawm kev nqis peev hauv kev tsim kho vaj tse yuav nce siab hauv xyoo 2021 thiab txuas ntxiv cuam tshuam rau kev thov hlau hauv xyoo 2022.
Hauv kev lag luam tsim khoom, kev tsim khoom tsheb tau rov zoo dua txij li lub Tsib Hlis 2020. Rau tag nrho xyoo 2020, kev tsim khoom tsheb tsuas yog poob qis 1.4 feem pua. Lwm cov kev lag luam tsim khoom tau pom tias muaj kev loj hlob vim muaj kev thov xa khoom tuaj ntau.
Zuag qhia tag nrho hauv Suav teb, kev siv hlau pom tseeb tau nce 9.1 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020. Xyoo 2021, nws xav tias cov kev ntsuas txhawb nqa uas tau tsim hauv xyoo 2020 yuav tseem nyob hauv qhov chaw kom ntseeg tau tias kev loj hlob tsim nyog hauv kev lag luam. Yog li ntawd, feem ntau cov khoom siv hlau yuav qhia txog qhov nruab nrab Lub Koom Haum Hlau Thoob Ntiaj Teb (Worldsteel) hauv Brussels tau tshaj tawm nws qhov kev kwv yees luv luv rau xyoo 2021 thiab 2022. Worldsteel kwv yees tias kev thov hlau yuav nce 5.8 feem pua hauv xyoo 2021 kom ncav cuag ze li ntawm 1.88 billion metric tons.
Xyoo 2020, cov hlau tsim tau poob qis 0.2 feem pua. Xyoo 2022, kev thov hlau yuav loj hlob ntxiv 2.7 feem pua kom txog ze li ntawm 1.925 billion metric tons.
Worldsteel hais tias qhov kev kwv yees tam sim no xav tias "cov kab mob [COVID-19] thib ob lossis thib peb yuav ruaj khov rau hauv peb lub hlis thib ob thiab kev vam meej ruaj khov ntawm kev txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv kab mob yuav ua tiav, uas ua rau maj mam rov qab mus rau qhov qub hauv cov teb chaws loj uas siv hlau."
"Txawm hais tias muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev ntawm tus kab mob sib kis rau lub neej thiab kev ua neej nyob, kev lag luam hlau thoob ntiaj teb tau muaj hmoo txaus los xaus xyoo 2020 nrog tsuas yog me ntsis kev poob qis hauv kev thov hlau," Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, tus thawj coj ntawm Worldsteel Economics Committee hais.
Pawg neeg hais tias tseem muaj "kev tsis paub meej ntau rau xyoo 2021 tas," hais tias kev hloov pauv ntawm tus kab mob thiab kev nce qib ntawm kev txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv kab mob, kev rho tawm ntawm cov cai nyiaj txiag thiab kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag, kev nom kev tswv hauv ntiaj teb thiab kev lag luam txhua yam tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau kev rov zoo uas tau teev tseg hauv nws qhov kev kwv yees.
Hauv cov tebchaws uas muaj kev vam meej, "Tom qab kev poob qis ntawm kev lag luam hauv lub quarter thib ob ntawm xyoo 2020, kev lag luam feem ntau rov zoo sai sai hauv lub quarter thib peb, feem ntau yog vim muaj kev ntsuas nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb thiab kev tso tawm ntawm kev thov uas raug kaw," Worldsteel sau.
Txawm li cas los xij, lub koom haum tau sau tseg tias cov theem kev ua ub no tseem qis dua qib ua ntej muaj kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2020. Yog li ntawd, kev thov hlau hauv ntiaj teb tsim tau poob qis 12.7 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020.
Worldsteel kwv yees tias, "Peb yuav pom kev rov zoo dua hauv xyoo 2021 thiab 2022, nrog kev loj hlob ntawm 8.2 feem pua thiab 4.2 feem pua, raws li. Txawm li cas los xij, kev thov hlau hauv xyoo 2022 tseem yuav qis dua qib xyoo 2019."
Tsoomfwv tau pib ua ntau qhov project tshiab los txhawb kev lag luam, kev loj hlob ntawm kev nqis peev hauv kev tsim kho vaj tse yuav nce siab hauv xyoo 2021 thiab txuas ntxiv cuam tshuam rau kev thov hlau hauv xyoo 2022.
Hauv kev lag luam tsim khoom, kev tsim khoom tsheb tau rov zoo dua txij li lub Tsib Hlis 2020. Rau tag nrho xyoo 2020, kev tsim khoom tsheb tsuas yog poob qis 1.4 feem pua. Lwm cov kev lag luam tsim khoom tau pom tias muaj kev loj hlob vim muaj kev thov xa khoom tuaj ntau.
Zuag qhia tag nrho hauv Suav teb, kev siv hlau pom tseeb tau nce 9.1 feem pua hauv xyoo 2020. Xyoo 2021, nws xav tias cov kev ntsuas txhawb nqa uas tau tsim hauv xyoo 2020 yuav tseem nyob hauv qhov chaw kom ntseeg tau tias kev loj hlob tsim nyog hauv kev lag luam. Yog li ntawd, feem ntau cov kev lag luam siv hlau yuav qhia txog kev loj hlob nruab nrab thiab Tuam Tshoj qhov kev thov hlau yuav loj hlob 3 feem pua hauv xyoo 2021. Xyoo 2022, kev loj hlob ntawm kev thov hlau yuav "qeeb qeeb mus rau feem pua raws li qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev txhawb nqa xyoo 2020 txo qis, thiab tsoomfwv tsom mus rau kev loj hlob ruaj khov dua," raws li Worldsteel.
kev loj hlob thiab Tuam Tshoj txoj kev xav tau hlau yuav loj hlob 3 feem pua hauv xyoo 2021. Hauv xyoo 2022, kev loj hlob ntawm kev xav tau hlau yuav "qeeb qeeb mus rau feem pua raws li qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev txhawb nqa xyoo 2020 ploj mus, thiab tsoomfwv tsom mus rau kev loj hlob ruaj khov dua," raws li Worldsteel.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Cuaj hlis-28-2021